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Comparative Political Studies
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Economic Origins of Electoral Support for Authoritarian Successors

A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting in New Democracies

Byong-Kuen Jhee

Korea University, Seoul

This study explores how economic performance prior to democratic transitions affects the fate of successors to authoritarian rulers in new democracies. It investigates 70 founding election outcomes, finding that successful economic performance under an authoritarian regime increases the vote share of successors. It also finds that the past economic performance of authoritarian rulers decreases the likelihood of government alternation to democratic oppositions. Interim governments that initiate democratic transition, however, are neither blamed nor rewarded for economic conditions during transition periods. This study concludes that electorates are not myopic and that economic voting is not a knee-jerk reaction to short-term economic performance in new democracies.

Key Words: democratization • economic voting • authoritarian regime • interim government • new democracies

This version was published on March 1, 2008

Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 41, No. 3, 362-388 (2008)
DOI: 10.1177/0010414007300694


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